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Can demand match development?

Published August 8, 2014

Year-to-date migration into the region is up 18% this year compared to last year. That’s down from the 24% increase we talked about a couple of months ago, but it is still great news. Maybe the numbers are more meaningful. Let's take a look.

Just over 61,000 people have moved into the region so far this year. In the first seven months of last year, 52,000 people moved here. Even if half as many moved out, that still means there are 30,500 more people on the roads every day wondering when Bertha will start digging again.

Monthly migration

That means we have added demand for at least 15,000 more housing units already this year. Now don’t go putting offers on more apartment sites based on that news. Some of that demand, hard as it is to accept, will opt for a condo or single-family house. But it is still good news. And it is good news all around the region. In-migration was higher in all five counties last month compared to a year ago.

Migration last month

And the totals over the past 12 months are impressive. Just over 105,000 people moved into the region. Almost 60% of them, 62,000 people, moved into King County. Another 17,500 moved into Pierce County, and 12,400 moved into Snohomish County. Kitsap and Thurston counties saw increases of 6,500 and 6,600 respectively. Each county captured significant in-migration relative to their populations.

Migration by county

You may not like the traffic. But with 2014 development activity on track to top every year since 1990, we’re welcoming the congestion.


The slide show below contains the charts from this week's video.

Editor's note: This is the complete article.

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December 20, 2014

Dave Kirzinger: "Dupre + Scott's data and projections definitely influence our investment decisions. Without this insight we would not have ventured back in to the market so quickly. Dupre + Scott research helped us secure two new acquisitions right at the start of the next up cycle." (Dave is a principal in Thrive Communities, a development and investment firm in Seattle.)